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UCFSD COVID-19 Metrics Update #17

Dear UCF Community, 

I hope that you have had a restful, joyful, and hopeful break thus far. We continue to regularly monitor real-time COVID-19 cases and transmission rates. Similar to last week’s report - there is a glimmer of hope with the data the state released last Friday. 

Yesterday we met with Dr. Sulieman to review her weekly analysis of the COVID-19 metrics. Click here to see the most recent report.  Important key takeaways include:

  • Chester County positivity rates decrease from 11.6% to 11.1%;
  • Chester County has seen a weekly decrease in incidence rate per 100,000 from 365.3 to 276.6;
  • UCF municipalities have seen a decrease in incidents from 50 to 44;
  • Projected incidence rates per 100,000 - in the next month -  show Chester County cases to remain below 300 (previous models showed numbers heading over 400);
  • UCF has seen 38 cases (students and staff) this year with 15 over the past four weeks (view UCF Dashboard);
  • Vaccine implementation will be incredibly important in the coming months for the overall outlook of this pandemic.

While we remain hopeful - we are also realistic. Numbers over the past three weeks have leveled or decreased - this is a good thing - and projections for our area indicate that this trend will continue. We also know that travel and gatherings can change these models. On Friday we will receive updated data - much hinges on these numbers. Specifically:

  • Should we remain in hybrid for our elementary students? Some have suggested that we should transition to virtual for all students and staff until January 19. At this point, no decision has been made as we continue to monitor both our actual experience and projected transmission rates.
  • January 4 the Board will discuss our secondary hybrid model. We are recommending grades 6-12 return to hybrid on January 19.
  • Athletics continue to be on pause. There are no in-person practices (voluntary or otherwise - scrimmages, or matches until January 4.
  • There are discussions of rapid antigen tests being made available for schools. The CHOP PolicyLab and education leaders across the Commonwealth are in discussions as to how this program - both massive and promising in scope - can be implemented effectively.    

Thank you for your continued support! Enjoy the rest of the break and have a happy New Year!

Kind regards,

John Sanville